Visitors wearing military camouflage stand at the entrance of the 'PMC Wagner Centre', associated with the founder of the Wagner private military group (PMC) Yevgeny Prigozhin, during the official opening of the office block on the National Unity Day, in Saint Petersburg, on November 4, 2022. (Photo by Olga MALTSEVA / AFP)

The shadow of Evgueni Prigojine still looms over Africa’s conflict zones, three years after his death. Despite the dismantling of his mercenary empire in Russia, remnants of the Wagner Group continue to operate across the continent, now allegedly relying on a different kind of firepower: opioid trafficking.

From bullets to pills: a new revenue stream

Investigations indicate that ex-Wagner fighters stationed in the Central African Republic have pivoted toward smuggling tramadol, a potent opioid painkiller often dubbed the “poor man’s cocaine.” This shift in tactics appears to be filling the financial void left by the group’s reduced military engagements following Prigojine’s demise.

Sources on the ground report that approximately 500 former Wagner operatives, including the late leader’s son Pavel Prigojine, remain active in the Central African Republic. While Moscow has rebranded Wagner’s foreign operations under state-controlled entities, these individuals have carved out new income streams to sustain their presence.

How tramadol fuels conflict

The trade in tramadol has surged in regions where Wagner retains influence, with networks extending from conflict zones to urban markets. The drug’s high potency and low cost make it an attractive commodity for both traffickers and consumers, particularly in areas with limited access to regulated healthcare.

Analysts warn that this illicit trade not only provides financial lifelines to former mercenaries but also exacerbates public health crises. Addiction rates have climbed in communities where tramadol circulates freely, creating a vicious cycle of dependency and instability.

Implications for regional security

The convergence of mercenary networks and drug trafficking poses a growing threat to stability in Africa. By diversifying their operations, ex-Wagner fighters are adapting to a changing geopolitical landscape, one where financial survival often trumps ideological or military objectives.

As these groups deepen their involvement in the opioid trade, the line between armed conflict and organized crime continues to blur, raising urgent questions about the future of security in regions already grappling with instability.